Dr. Ed’s BlogIs it possible that monetary policy can�t fix all of our economic problems? That was one of my main discussion points with our accounts in Boston last week. In recent years, the major central banks have been taken over by macroeconomists who believe that they have the power to tame the business cycle. Since the financial crisis of 2008, they�ve led us to believe that they can revive self-sustaining economic growth and stabilize inflation around 2%. That�s because they strongly believe in their powers – even though they�ve been providing abnormally easy monetary policy since the crisis yet economic growth remains subpar with inflation below 2%.

I believe that the macroeconomists at the central banks (a.k.a. central monetary planners) have failed to achieve their goals because they are blindly fighting very powerful economic forces that are microeconomic in origin. They are also fighting the forces of technology and demography. Technological innovation, one of the primary drivers of �creative destruction,� disrupts and displaces the old ways of doing things with better goods and services at lower prices (BGSALP). Demographic trends are disruptive too, as people are living longer while baby creation is tanking, as evidenced by plunging fertility rates around the world, with deflationary consequences.

By ignoring these forces, the macroeconomists are unknowingly disrupting the microeconomic adjustment mechanisms that automatically eliminate economic and financial excesses on a regular basis. In other words, their obsession with moderating the business cycle is actually contributing to the problems they are trying to fix, because they won�t let Mother Nature – who is a microeconomist – manage the business cycle. Consider the following:

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A friend of my named, Bob, was staying in Los Angeles in the spring of 1968 when I was seventeen years old. Bob asked me, “Would you drive me to a rock concert at the Swing Auditorium in San Bernardino, California? I’ll pay for the gas and buy you a ticket to the concert if you’ll take me.”

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As an internet user for over twenty many years, and a porn aficionado for at least as numerous, I have long been conscious of (and a visitor to) Abby Winters.

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